New intel on database sizes has rolled in over the past 6 weeks, so it’s time to update the autosomal database growth graph! Sources for the new data points are at the end of the post.
23andMe typically reports their database size once a year in the early spring; expect new numbers from them at RootsTech. If they have continued to grow at their last-reported rate, their database should be around 13.6 million. However, it’s likely they’ve seen a decline in sales much like AncestryDNA.
Had the databases continued to grow at the rates prior to April 2018, AncestryDNA would have about 26.7 million people, 23andMe 17.8 million, Family Tree DNA 2.3 million, and GEDmatch 2.1 million. Only MyHeritage has outperformed expectations, with 3.6 million predicted, compared with their latest report of 3.77 million.
- When GEDmatch announced its sale to the forensics company Verogen, the database had reached 1.3 million.
- A few weeks later, the estimate of the Family Tree DNA autosomal database on the International Society of Genetic Genealogy wiki was updated to 1.15 million.
- In their end-of-year blog post, MyHeritage said they had 3.77 million kits in their database.
- A couple of days ago, AncestryDNA updated the tally on their corporate page to 16 million.